2026-06-20

The Toronto Blue Jays are set to face the Chicago Cubs, with the Cubs' starter Colin Rea posing a potential threat despite his struggles. Rea features a five-pitch mix but primarily throws a four-seamer fastball with a 48% usage rate, a pitch the Blue Jays have punished this season with a .264 batting average. Since June 1, that average has climbed to .300. Colin Rea is a contact pitcher, owning a .282 xBA and a 12.1 barrel rate, which ranks him in the 6th percentile among all qualified pitchers in baseball. When he's pitching in the zone, he's getting tagged, allowing an 89% in-zone contact rate. Toronto is an aggressive offense, owning a .329 average when facing the four-seamer over the heart of the plate with a 57.2% hard-hit rate. Rea has surrendered six or more hits in eight of his last 11 outings, with a 5.88 ERA in that stretch. Kazuma Okamoto profiles very well against Rea with a .306 average against the four-seamer and a team-high 13.5% barrel rate. Nathan Lukes has been punishing four-seamers all season long, owning a .333 average against the pitch and recording a hit in 20 of his last 23 outings. The Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games. Okamoto's hitting profile matches up perfectly against Rea's stuff, making him a strong candidate for a home run. Rea has allowed 12 home runs over 15 outings this season, so he's susceptible to giving up long balls. The moneyline odds are Toronto +109 and Chicago -120, with the over/under set at 8.5. The Blue Jays will look to capitalize on Rea's struggles and secure a win. And with their strong bats, they have a good chance of doing so. But the Cubs are not to be underestimated, and the game is expected to be closely contested. So the Blue Jays will need to be at the top of their game if they want to come out on top. The game is set to be an exciting one, with both teams looking to gain an edge. Colin Rea's performance will be crucial, and the Blue Jays will be looking to exploit his weaknesses. With the right strategy, they could come out with a win.